The long memory model of political support: some further results

C-Tier
Journal: Applied Economics
Year: 2007
Volume: 39
Issue: 20
Pages: 2547-2552

Score contribution per author:

0.335 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This article extends the results of Byers et al. (1997) on long memory in support for the Conservative and Labour Parties in the UK using longer samples and additional poll series. It finds continuing support for the ARFIMA(0, d, 0) model, though with somewhat smaller values of the long memory parameter. We find that the move to telephone polling in the mid-1990s had no apparent effect on the estimated value of d for either party. Finally, we find that we cannot reject the hypotheses that the parties share a common long memory parameter which we estimate at around 0.65.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:taf:applec:v:39:y:2007:i:20:p:2547-2552
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25