The Impact of Short‐ and Long‐run Exchange Rate Uncertainty on Investment: A Panel Study of Industrial Countries

B-Tier
Journal: Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
Year: 2005
Volume: 67
Issue: 3
Pages: 307-329

Authors (2)

Joseph P. Byrne (University of Strathclyde) E. Philip Davis (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We examine the relationship between aggregate investment and exchange rate uncertainty in the G7, using panel estimation and decomposition of volatility derived from the components generalized autoregressive conditionally heteroscedastic (GARCH) model. Our dynamic panel approach takes account of potential cross‐sectional heterogeneity, which can lead to bias in estimation. We find that for a poolable subsample of European countries, it is the transitory and not the permanent component of volatility which adversely affects investment. To the extent that short‐run uncertainty in the CGARCH model characterizes higher frequency shocks generated by volatile short‐term capital flows, these are most deleterious for investment.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:bla:obuest:v:67:y:2005:i:3:p:307-329
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25