Primary commodity prices: Co-movements, common factors and fundamentals

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Development Economics
Year: 2013
Volume: 101
Issue: C
Pages: 16-26

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

The behavior of commodities is critical for developing and developed countries alike. This paper contributes to the empirical evidence on the co-movement and determinants of commodity prices. Using nonstationary panel methods, we document a statistically significant degree of co-movement due to a common factor. Within a Factor Augmented VAR approach, real interest rate and uncertainty, as postulated by a simple asset pricing model, are both found to be negatively related to this common factor. This evidence is robust to the inclusion of demand and supply shocks, which both positively impact on the co-movement of commodity prices.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:deveco:v:101:y:2013:i:c:p:16-26
Journal Field
Development
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25