An empirical analysis of the dynamic relationship between mutual fund flow and market return volatility

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Banking & Finance
Year: 2008
Volume: 32
Issue: 10
Pages: 2111-2123

Authors (3)

Cao, Charles (Tsinghua University) Chang, Eric C. (not in RePEc) Wang, Ying (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We study the dynamic relation between aggregate mutual fund flow and market-wide volatility. Using daily flow data and a VAR approach, we find that market volatility is negatively related to concurrent and lagged flow. A structural VAR impulse response analysis suggests that shock in flow has a negative impact on market volatility: An inflow (outflow) shock predicts a decline (an increase) in volatility. From the perspective of volatility-flow relation, we find evidence of volatility timing for recent period of 1998-2003. Finally, we document a differential impact of daily inflow versus outflow on intraday volatility. The relation between intraday volatility and inflow (outflow) becomes weaker (stronger) from morning to afternoon.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jbfina:v:32:y:2008:i:10:p:2111-2123
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25