Unit Root Testing Using Covariates: Some Theory and Evidence

B-Tier
Journal: Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
Year: 1999
Volume: 61
Issue: 4
Pages: 583-595

Authors (2)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper analyzes the conditions under which power gains can be achieved using the Covariate Augmented Dickey‐Fuller test (CADF) rather than the conventional Augmented Dickey‐Fuller (ADF), and argues that this method has the advantage, relative to univariate unit root tests, of increasing power without suffering from the large size distortions affecting the latter. The inclusion of covariates affects unit root testing by: (a) reducing the standard error of the estimate of the autoregressive parameter without affecting the estimate itself, and/or (b) reducing both the standard error and the absolute value of the estimate itself. Conditions in terms of contemporaneous correlation and Granger causality are derived for case (a) or (b) to arise. As an illustration, it is shown that applying the more powerful CADF (rather than the ADF) test reverses the finding of a unit root for many US macroeconomic series.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:bla:obuest:v:61:y:1999:i:4:p:583-595
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25