The Euro and inflation uncertainty in the European Monetary Union

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of International Money and Finance
Year: 2009
Volume: 28
Issue: 6
Pages: 954-971

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper adopts a time-varying GARCH framework to estimate short-run and steady-state inflation uncertainty in 12 EMU countries, and then investigates their relationship with inflation. The effects of the Euro introduction in 1999 are examined by utilising a dummy variable. Tests for endogenously determined breaks are also employed. We find a considerable degree of heterogeneity across EMU countries in terms of average inflation, its degree of persistence, and both types of uncertainty, whilst the trend component of inflation is generally decreasing. Various breaks in the relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty are found, frequently well before the Euro introduction.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jimfin:v:28:y:2009:i:6:p:954-971
Journal Field
International
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25