Export-Led Decay: The Trade Channel in the Gold Standard Era

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of the European Economic Association
Year: 2025
Volume: 23
Issue: 3
Pages: 1173-1201

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Flexible exchange rates can facilitate price adjustments that buffer macroeconomic shocks. We test this hypothesis using adjustments to the gold standard during the Great Depression. Using novel monthly data on city-level economic activity, sectoral employment, and export data, we show that American exporting cities were significantly affected by changes in bilateral exchange rates. We calibrate a general equilibrium model to obtain aggregate effects from cross-sectional estimates. We show that the trade channel deepened the Great Depression and was a key driver of the economic recovery in 1933.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:oup:jeurec:v:23:y:2025:i:3:p:1173-1201.
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25