Testing for Granger causality in distribution tails: An application to oil markets integration

C-Tier
Journal: Economic Modeling
Year: 2013
Volume: 31
Issue: C
Pages: 276-285

Score contribution per author:

0.335 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper proposes an original procedure which allows for testing of Granger-causality for multiple risk levels across tail distributions, hence extending the procedure proposed by Hong et al. (2009). Asymptotic and finite sample properties of the test are considered. This new Granger-causality framework is applied for a set of regional oil markets series. It helps to tackle two main questions 1) Whether oil markets are more or less integrated during periods of extreme energetic prices movements and 2) Whether price-setter markets change during such periods. Our findings indicate that the integration level between crude oil markets tends to decrease during extreme periods and that price-setter markets also change. Such results have policy implication and stress the importance of an active energetic policy during episode of extreme movements.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:ecmode:v:31:y:2013:i:c:p:276-285
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25