Stability between cryptocurrency prices and the term structure

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Year: 2024
Volume: 165
Issue: C

Authors (2)

Castle, Jennifer L. (Oxford University) Kurita, Takamitsu (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

The rapid expansion of the global cryptocurrency market raises the question of whether there are stable relationships between the prices of representative cryptocurrencies and economic indicators capturing expectations of future monetary policy. Multivariate time-series analysis reveals a single but significant cointegrating relationship between cryptocurrencies and the US term spread. This evidence allows us to explore cointegration-based control analysis of the data, which results in direct policy implications for the implementation of monetary policy allowing for the growing influence of digital assets. Structural breaks due to Tesla terminating the use of Bitcoin for car sales and the US inflation shock in 2022 must be handled, maintaining the stability of the relationship between cryptocurrencies and the term spread.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:dyncon:v:165:y:2024:i:c:s0165188924000824
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25