Model selection when there are multiple breaks

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Econometrics
Year: 2012
Volume: 169
Issue: 2
Pages: 239-246

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We consider model selection facing uncertainty over the choice of variables and the occurrence and timing of multiple location shifts. General-to-simple selection is extended by adding an impulse indicator for every observation to the set of candidate regressors: see Johansen and Nielsen (2009). We apply that approach to a fat-tailed distribution, and to processes with breaks: Monte Carlo experiments show its capability of detecting up to 20 shifts in 100 observations, while jointly selecting variables. An illustration to US real interest rates compares impulse-indicator saturation with the procedure in Bai and Perron (1998).

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:econom:v:169:y:2012:i:2:p:239-246
Journal Field
Econometrics
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25