Trade Flows, Exchange Rate Uncertainty, and Financial Depth: Evidence from 28 Emerging Countries

C-Tier
Journal: Southern Economic Journal
Year: 2013
Volume: 79
Issue: 4
Pages: 905-927

Authors (3)

Mustafa Caglayan (Heriot-Watt University) Omar S. Dahi (not in RePEc) Firat Demir (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

0.335 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This article investigates the effects of real exchange rate uncertainty on manufactures exports from 28 emerging economies, representing 82% of all developing country manufactures exports, and explores the sources of heterogeneity in the uncertainty effects by controlling for the direction of trade (south‐north or south‐south), and the level of financial development of the exporting country. The empirical results show that for more than half of the countries, the uncertainty effect is unidirectional, either south‐south or south‐north, and the median impact is negative. In addition, while we find that financial development augments trade, exchange rate shocks can negate this effect. Last but not least, trade among developing economies improves export growth under exchange rate shocks.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:wly:soecon:v:79:y:2013:i:4:p:905-927
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25