More than Words: Leaders' Speech and Risky Behavior during a Pandemic

A-Tier
Journal: American Economic Journal: Economic Policy
Year: 2023
Volume: 15
Issue: 3
Pages: 351-71

Authors (3)

Nicolás Ajzenman (not in RePEc) Tiago Cavalcanti (University of Cambridge) Daniel Da Mata (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper investigates whether the anti-scientific rhetoric of modern populists can induce followers to engage in risky behavior. We gather electoral information, credit card expenses, and geo-localized mobile phone data for approximately 60 million devices in Brazil. After the president publicly dismissed the risks of the COVID-19 pandemic and challenged scientific recommendations, social distancing in pro-government localities declined. Consistently, credit card expenses increased immediately. Results are driven by localities with higher media penetration levels, active Twitter accounts, and a larger proportion of evangelical Christians, a critical electoral group.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aejpol:v:15:y:2023:i:3:p:351-71
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25