Monetary Policy and Asset Price Overshooting: A Rationale for the Wall/Main Street Disconnect

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Finance
Year: 2024
Volume: 79
Issue: 3
Pages: 1719-1753

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We analyze optimal monetary policy and its implications for asset prices when aggregate demand has inertia. If there is a negative output gap, the central bank optimally overshoots aggregate asset prices (above their steady‐state levels consistent with current potential output). Overshooting leads to a temporary disconnect between the performance of financial markets and the real economy, but accelerates the recovery. When there is a lower bound constraint on the discount rate, good macroeconomic news is better news for asset prices when the output gap is more negative. Finally, we document that during the COVID‐19 recovery, the policy‐induced overshooting was large.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:bla:jfinan:v:79:y:2024:i:3:p:1719-1753
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25