Sticky Expectations and Consumption Dynamics

A-Tier
Journal: American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics
Year: 2020
Volume: 12
Issue: 3
Pages: 40-76

Score contribution per author:

0.804 = (α=2.01 / 5 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

To match aggregate consumption dynamics, macroeconomic models must generate "excess smoothness" in consumption expenditures. But microfounded models are calibrated to match micro data, which exhibit no "excess smoothness." So standard microfounded models fail to match the macro smoothness facts. We show that the micro and macro evidence are both consistent with a microfounded model where consumers know their personal circumstances but have "sticky expectations" about the macroeconomy. Aggregate consumption sluggishness reflects consumers' imperfect attention to aggregate shocks. Our proposed degree of inattention has negligible utility costs because aggregate shocks constitute a tiny proportion of the uncertainty that consumers face.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aejmac:v:12:y:2020:i:3:p:40-76
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
5
Added to Database
2026-01-25