Partisanship and Fiscal Policy in Economic Unions: Evidence from US States

S-Tier
Journal: American Economic Review
Year: 2023
Volume: 113
Issue: 3
Pages: 701-37

Authors (4)

Gerald Carlino (Federal Reserve Bank of Philad...) Thorsten Drautzburg (not in RePEc) Robert Inman (not in RePEc) Nicholas Zarra (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 4.0x S-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Partisanship of state governors affects the efficacy of US federal fiscal policy. Using close election data, we find partisan differences in the marginal propensity to spend federal intergovernmental transfers: Republican governors spend less than Democratic governors. Correspondingly, Republican-led states have lower debt, (delayed) lower taxes, and initially lower economic activity. A New Keynesian model of partisan states in a monetary union implies sizable aggregate effects: The intergovernmental transfer impact multiplier rises by 0.58 if Republican governors spend like Democratic governors, but due to delayed tax cuts, the long-run multiplier is higher with more Republican governors, generating an intertemporal policy trade-off.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aecrev:v:113:y:2023:i:3:p:701-37
Journal Field
General
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-25