Are Small-Scale SVARs Useful for Business Cycle Analysis? Revisiting Nonfundamentalness

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of the European Economic Association
Year: 2018
Volume: 16
Issue: 4
Pages: 1069-1093

Authors (2)

Fabio Canova (Centre for Economic Policy Res...) Mehdi Hamidi Sahneh (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Nonfundamentalness arises when current and past values of the observables do not contain enough information to recover structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) disturbances. Using Granger causality tests, the literature suggested that several small-scale SVAR models are nonfundamental and thus not necessarily useful for business cycle analysis. We show that causality tests are problematic when SVAR variables cross-sectionally aggregate the variables of the underlying economy or proxy for nonobservables. We provide an alternative testing procedure, illustrate its properties with Monte Carlo simulations, and re-examine a prototypical small-scale SVAR model.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:oup:jeurec:v:16:y:2018:i:4:p:1069-1093.
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25