The Structural Dynamics of U.S. Output and Inflation: What Explains the Changes?

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking
Year: 2008
Volume: 40
Issue: 2‐3
Pages: 369-388

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We examine the dynamics of U.S. output and inflation using a structural time‐varying coefficients vector autoregression. There are changes in the volatility of both variables and in the persistence of inflation, but variations are statistically insignificant. Technology shocks explain changes in output volatility; real demand disturbances variations in the persistence and volatility of inflation. We detect important time variations in the transmission of technology shocks to output and demand shocks to inflation and significant changes in the variance of technology and of monetary policy shocks.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:wly:jmoncb:v:40:y:2008:i:2-3:p:369-388
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25