The systematic component of monetary policy in SVARs: An agnostic identification procedure

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Monetary Economics
Year: 2019
Volume: 101
Issue: C
Pages: 1-13

Authors (3)

Arias, Jonas E. (not in RePEc) Caldara, Dario (not in RePEc) Rubio-Ramírez, Juan F. (Emory University)

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper studies the effects of monetary policy shocks using structural VARs. We achieve identification by imposing sign and zero restrictions on the systematic component of monetary policy. Importantly, our identification scheme does not restrict the contemporaneous response of output to a monetary policy shock. Using data for the period 1965–2007, we consistently find that an increase in the federal funds rate induces a contraction in output. We also find that monetary policy shocks are contractionary during the Great Moderation. Finally, we show that the identification strategy in Uhlig (2005), which imposes sign restrictions on the impulse response functions to a monetary policy shock, does not satisfy our restrictions on the systematic component of monetary policy with high posterior probability.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:moneco:v:101:y:2019:i:c:p:1-13
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25