Model Selection for Monetary Policy Analysis: How Important is Empirical Validity?*

B-Tier
Journal: Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics
Year: 2009
Volume: 71
Issue: 1
Pages: 35-68

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We investigate the economic significance of trading off empirical validity of models against other desirable model properties. Our investigation is based on three alternative econometric systems of the supply side, in a model that can be used to discuss optimal monetary policy in Norway. Our results caution against compromising empirical validity when selecting a model for policy analysis. We also find large costs from basing policies on the robust model, or on a suite of models, even when it contains the valid model. This confirms an important role for econometric modelling and evaluation in model choice for policy analysis.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:bla:obuest:v:71:y:2009:i:1:p:35-68
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-24