Light-duty vehicle fleet electrification in the United States and its effects on global agricultural markets

B-Tier
Journal: Ecological Economics
Year: 2022
Volume: 200
Issue: C

Authors (3)

Dumortier, Jerome (not in RePEc) Elobeid, Amani (Iowa State University) Carriquiry, Miguel (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Electrification of the light-duty vehicle (LDV) fleet in the United States (U.S.) decreases the long-term demand for maize ethanol. This analysis assesses the consequences of accelerated penetration of electric vehicles into the U.S. LDV fleet on global food production, prices, land-use, and carbon emissions. Population and income growth are framed around Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP). The scenarios progressively increase the 2050 sales share of electric LDVs to 100%. The results indicate a maximum price decline of 9.5% for maize and a significant increase in U.S. maize exports. The fleet electrification also leads to a decline in global cropland compared to the baseline by up to 4.4 million hectares at the end of the projection period. Mean GHG reductions in the 100% LDV sales scenario range from 39.4% to 52.0% of 2019 emissions from gasoline LDVs depending on the SSP. Thus, transportation policies supporting additional electric vehicles reduce food prices and carbon emissions.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:ecolec:v:200:y:2022:i:c:s0921800922001987
Journal Field
Environment
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25