Investment over the Business Cycle: Insights from College Major Choice

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Labor Economics
Year: 2021
Volume: 39
Issue: 4
Pages: 1043 - 1082

Authors (3)

Erica Blom (not in RePEc) Brian C. Cadena (not in RePEc) Benjamin J. Keys (University of Pennsylvania)

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

How does personal exposure to economic conditions affect individual human capital investment choices? Focusing on bachelor’s degree recipients, we find that cohorts exposed to higher unemployment rates during typical schooling years select majors that earn higher wages, have better employment prospects, and lead to work in a related field. Conditional on expected earnings, recessions also encourage women to enter male-dominated fields, and students of both genders pursue more difficult majors. We conclude that economic environments change how students select majors, and we find evidence that students who respond to the business cycle enjoy earnings typical of their new majors.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:ucp:jlabec:doi:10.1086/712611
Journal Field
Labor
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25