The Beauty Contest and Short-Term Trading

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Finance
Year: 2015
Volume: 70
Issue: 5
Pages: 2099-2154

Authors (2)

GIOVANNI CESPA (not in RePEc) XAVIER VIVES (Universidad de Navarra)

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

type="main"> <title type="main">ABSTRACT</title> <p>Short-termism need not breed informational price inefficiency even when generating beauty contests. We demonstrate this claim in a two-period market with persistent liquidity trading and risk-averse, privately informed, short-term investors and find that prices reflect average expectations about fundamentals and liquidity trading. Informed investors engage in “retrospective” learning to reassess inferences (about fundamentals) made during the trading game's early stages. This behavior introduces strategic complementarities in the use of information and can yield two stable equilibria that can be ranked in terms of liquidity, volatility, and informational efficiency. We derive implications that explain market anomalies as well as empirical regularities.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:bla:jfinan:v:70:y:2015:i:5:p:2099-2154
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25