A Model-Based Evaluation of the Debate on the Size of the Tax Multiplier

A-Tier
Journal: American Economic Journal: Economic Policy
Year: 2012
Volume: 4
Issue: 2
Pages: 28-45

Authors (3)

Ryan Chahrour (not in RePEc) Stephanie Schmitt-Grohé (not in RePEc) Martín Uribe (National Bureau of Economic Re...)

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

The SVAR and narrative approaches to estimating tax multipliers deliver significantly different results. The former yields multipliers of about 1 and the latter of about 3. The two approaches differ along two important dimensions: the identification scheme and the reduced-form transmission mechanism. This paper uses a DSGE-model to evaluate the hypothesis that the difference in multipliers is due to differences in transmission mechanisms. The main finding of the paper is that this hypothesis is rejected. Instead, the observed differences in estimated multipliers are due either to the models failing to identify the same tax shock, or to small-sample uncertainty. (JEL E13, E23, E32, E62, H20)

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:aea:aejpol:v:4:y:2012:i:2:p:28-45
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25