Household indebtedness and the macroeconomic effects of tax changes

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization
Year: 2023
Volume: 209
Issue: C
Pages: 22-52

Authors (2)

Choi, Sangyup (Yonsei University) Shin, Junhyeok (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

1.009 = (α=2.02 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This study investigates whether household indebtedness influences the macroeconomic effects of U.S. tax changes. By applying a state-dependent local projection method to the exogenous tax shock series, we find that a tax cut is more effective in stimulating output when the economy is characterized by higher household indebtedness. The household debt-dependent tax policy is primarily driven by (i) the response of private consumption, not private investment; (ii) changes in personal income tax, not corporate income tax, suggesting the relevance of a higher MPC of constrained households in understanding the documented state dependence. In response to a tax cut, labor supply also increases more during a high-debt state, which is consistent with the micro-level evidence on the labor supply of constrained households, thereby contributing to higher tax multipliers. Our findings are robust to a battery of sensitivity checks, especially controlling for the additional states of the economy considered in the literature.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jeborg:v:209:y:2023:i:c:p:22-52
Journal Field
Theory
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25