Learning can generate long memory

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Econometrics
Year: 2017
Volume: 198
Issue: 1
Pages: 1-9

Authors (2)

Chevillon, Guillaume (not in RePEc) Mavroeidis, Sophocles (Oxford University)

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We study learning dynamics in a prototypical representative-agent forward-looking model in which agents’ beliefs are updated using linear learning algorithms. We show that learning in this model can generate long memory endogenously, without any persistence in the exogenous shocks, depending on the weights agents place on past observations when they update their beliefs, and on the magnitude of the feedback from expectations to the endogenous variable. This is distinctly different from the case of rational expectations, where the memory of the endogenous variable is determined exogenously.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:econom:v:198:y:2017:i:1:p:1-9
Journal Field
Econometrics
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25