Size and sign asymmetries in house price adjustments

C-Tier
Journal: Applied Economics
Year: 2019
Volume: 51
Issue: 48
Pages: 5268-5281

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 1 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Long-run mean-reversion in real house prices is determined by the relative strength of fundamental factors against the short-run influences. This article suggests that the adjustment towards the long-run trend in house prices could display non-linear behaviour due to some intrinsic characteristics of the housing market. Accordingly, sign and size asymmetries as well as possible structural breaks are taken into account in a unit root testing exercise for twenty-nine countries. Our results suggest that mean-reversion exists for seventy percent of the countries in our sample. Moreover, the out-of-sample forecasting performance of our non-linear models in predicting house prices is better than a simple auto-regressive benchmark for some countries.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:taf:applec:v:51:y:2019:i:48:p:5268-5281
Journal Field
General
Author Count
1
Added to Database
2026-01-24