Forecasting tourist arrivals using origin country macroeconomics

C-Tier
Journal: Applied Economics
Year: 2016
Volume: 48
Issue: 27
Pages: 2571-2585

Authors (4)

Ioannis Chatziantoniou (not in RePEc) Stavros Degiannakis (not in RePEc) Bruno Eeckels (not in RePEc) George Filis (Panteion University of Social)

Score contribution per author:

0.251 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This study utilizes both disaggregated data and macroeconomic indicators in order to examine the importance of the macroeconomic environment of origin countries for analysing destinations’ tourist arrivals. In particular, it is the first study to present strong empirical evidence that both of these features in tandem provide statistically significant information of tourist arrivals in Greece. The forecasting exercises presented in our analysis show that macroeconomic indicators conducive to better forecasts are mainly origin country-specific, thus highlighting the importance of considering the apparent sharp national contrasts among origin countries when investigating domestic tourist arrivals. Given the extent of the dependency of the Greek economy on tourism income and also the perishable nature of the tourist product itself, results have important implications for policymakers in Greece.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:27:p:2571-2585
Journal Field
General
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-25