TESTING FOR THE MARKOV PROPERTY IN TIME SERIES

B-Tier
Journal: Econometric Theory
Year: 2012
Volume: 28
Issue: 1
Pages: 130-178

Authors (2)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

The Markov property is a fundamental property in time series analysis and is often assumed in economic and financial modeling. We develop a new test for the Markov property using the conditional characteristic function embedded in a frequency domain approach, which checks the implication of the Markov property in every conditional moment (if it exists) and over many lags. The proposed test is applicable to both univariate and multivariate time series with discrete or continuous distributions. Simulation studies show that with the use of a smoothed nonparametric transition density-based bootstrap procedure, the proposed test has reasonable sizes and all-around power against several popular non-Markov alternatives in finite samples. We apply the test to a number of financial time series and find some evidence against the Markov property.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:cup:etheor:v:28:y:2012:i:01:p:130-178_00
Journal Field
Econometrics
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25