Home purchase restriction and housing price: A distribution dynamics analysis

B-Tier
Journal: Regional Science and Urban Economics
Year: 2017
Volume: 67
Issue: C
Pages: 1-10

Authors (3)

Li, Victor Jing (not in RePEc) Cheng, Andy Wui Wing (not in RePEc) Cheong, Tsun Se (Hang Seng University of Hong K...)

Score contribution per author:

0.673 = (α=2.02 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

China's residential housing market has been largely influenced by the policy initiatives of the central government. This study examines how the implementation and removal of home purchase restrictions has affected housing price changes in major cities. Based on the dataset of 70 large- and medium- sized cities between 2014 and 2015, the price evolution trends were evaluated by the distribution dynamic analysis based on the method of Mobility Probability Plot (MPP). This newly developed method allows for better exploring housing price dynamics under home purchase restriction policy. There are four major findings: First, home purchase restriction has a salient effect on curbing speculative investment demand in terms of lowering large sized housing price growth; second, home purchase restriction has long-running effects on bringing down housing prices if the current price increase does not exceed 5% on a month-to-month basis; third, small- or large-sized housing may face more downward pressure of housing prices than medium-sized housing under the home purchase restriction; fourth, removal of the home purchase restriction may saliently increase the housing price levels that have been contained.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:regeco:v:67:y:2017:i:c:p:1-10
Journal Field
Urban/Geographic
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25