Heterogeneous expectations in asset pricing: Empirical evidence from the S&P500

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization
Year: 2014
Volume: 105
Issue: C
Pages: 1-16

Score contribution per author:

0.670 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper empirically assesses heterogeneous expectations in asset pricing. We use a maximum likelihood approach on S&P500 data to estimate a structural model. Our empirical results are consistent with a market populated with fundamentalists and chartists. In addition, agents switch between these groups conditional on their previous performance. The results imply that the model can explain the inflation and deflation of bubbles. Finally, the model is shown to be in the deterministically stable region, but produces stochastic bubbles of similar length and magnitude as empirically observed.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:jeborg:v:105:y:2014:i:c:p:1-16
Journal Field
Theory
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25