Credit booms gone bust: Monetary policy, leverage cycles, and financial crises 1870–2008

A-Tier
Journal: The Review of Financial Studies
Year: 2021
Volume: 34
Issue: 3
Pages: 1445-1508

Authors (4)

Score contribution per author:

1.009 = (α=2.02 / 4 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper examines the spillover effects of U.S. unconventional monetary policy (UMP) on emerging market capital flows and asset prices. Affine term structure model estimates show that U.S. monetary policy shocks, identified with high-frequency Treasury futures data, represent revisions to expected short-term yields and term premia, especially during the UMP period. The policy shocks exhibit sizable effects on U.S. holdings of emerging market assets. These effects disproportionately manifest through valuation changes versus physical flows, are more pronounced for equity relative to bond markets, and are asymmetric between the quantitative easing and tapering periods, with flows more important during the unwinding.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:oup:rfinst:v:34:y:2021:i:3:p:1445-1508
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-25