Monetary Stimulus amidst the Infrastructure Investment Spree: Evidence from China's Loan‐Level Data

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Finance
Year: 2023
Volume: 78
Issue: 2
Pages: 1147-1204

Authors (5)

KAIJI CHEN (not in RePEc) HAOYU GAO (not in RePEc) PATRICK HIGGINS (not in RePEc) DANIEL F. WAGGONER (Federal Reserve Bank of Atlant...) TAO ZHA (Federal Reserve Bank of Atlant...)

Score contribution per author:

0.804 = (α=2.01 / 5 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We study how a fiscal expansion via infrastructure investment influences the dynamic impacts of monetary stimulus on credit allocation. We develop a two‐stage approach and apply it to the Chinese economy with a confidential loan‐level data set that covers all sectors. We find that infrastructure investment significantly weakened monetary policy's transmission to credit allocated to private firms, while reinforcing the monetary effects on loans to state‐owned firms. This fiscal‐monetary interaction channel is key to understanding the preferential credit access enjoyed by state‐owned firms during the stimulus period. Consequently, monetary stimulus crowded out private investment and decreased capital allocation efficiency.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:bla:jfinan:v:78:y:2023:i:2:p:1147-1204
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
5
Added to Database
2026-01-25