Neural network models for inflation forecasting: an appraisal

C-Tier
Journal: Applied Economics
Year: 2012
Volume: 44
Issue: 20
Pages: 2631-2635

Authors (2)

Score contribution per author:

0.505 = (α=2.02 / 2 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We assess the power of diverse Artificial Neural-Network (ANN) models as forecasting tools for monthly inflation rates for 28 Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries. In the context of short out-of-sample forecasting horizon we find that, on average, the ANN models were a superior predictor for inflation for 45% while the Autoregressive model of order one (AR1) model performed better for 23% of the countries. Furthermore, we develop arithmetic combinations of several ANN models and find that these may also serve as credible tools for forecasting inflation.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:taf:applec:v:44:y:2012:i:20:p:2631-2635
Journal Field
General
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25