Trust in the Central Bank and Inflation Expectations

B-Tier
Journal: International Journal of Central Banking
Year: 2020
Volume: 16
Issue: 6
Pages: 1-37

Score contribution per author:

0.503 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Using micro data from the 2015 Dutch CentERpanel, we examine whether trust in the European Central Bank (ECB) influences individuals' expectations and uncertainty about future inflation, and whether it anchors inflation expectations. We find that higher trust in the ECB lowers inflation expectations on average and significantly reduces uncertainty about future inflation. Moreover, results from quantile regressions suggest that trusting the ECB increases (lowers) inflation expectations when the latter are below (above) the ECB's inflation target. These findings hold after controlling for people's knowledge about the objectives of the ECB.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:ijc:ijcjou:y:2020:q:5:a:1
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-25