Uncertainty and the Bank of England's MPC

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking
Year: 2022
Volume: 54
Issue: 4
Pages: 825-858

Authors (4)

HENRY W. CHAPPELL (not in RePEc) WILLIAM GREENE (not in RePEc) MARK N. HARRIS (Curtin University) CHRISTOPHER SPENCER (Loughborough University)

Score contribution per author:

0.503 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We investigate how recently developed measures of uncertainty affect the voting behavior of individual Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) members. To determine the precise impact of uncertainty on individual policymakers, we estimate the standard errors of member‐specific parameters in a random parameters ordered probit framework. We find that uncertainty is typically associated with voting to ease the policy stance. The Bank of England's in‐house uncertainty index plays a prominent role in driving voting behavior. Based on this measure, the MPC emerges as a diverse group of activist risk managers.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:wly:jmoncb:v:54:y:2022:i:4:p:825-858
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-25