Systemic political risk

C-Tier
Journal: Economic Modeling
Year: 2023
Volume: 125
Issue: C

Authors (3)

Chuliá, Helena (Universitat de Barcelona) Estévez, Marc (not in RePEc) Uribe, Jorge M. (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

0.336 = (α=2.02 / 3 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Political risk impacts firm-level risk, influencing funding costs, cash holdings, and capital structure choices. Traditional approaches to political risk rely on aggregate indicators, like economic policy uncertainty proxies. In contrast, our study examines how political risk spreads among individual US firms and sectors using network analysis and systemic risk indicators. This approach identifies crucial and vulnerable actors, not possible with aggregate proxies. We demonstrate the spread of political risk among firms and establish the utility of monitoring neighboring firms to predict potential political risk for a specific firm. Thus, firm-level political risk is not just an idiosyncratic concern but also a systemic one. Additionally, we find that the most central political risk actors are the most sensitive to economic cycles.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:ecmode:v:125:y:2023:i:c:s0264999323001876
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25