Forecasting exchange rate volatility using high-frequency data: Is the euro different?

B-Tier
Journal: International Journal of Forecasting
Year: 2011
Volume: 27
Issue: 4
Pages: 1089-1107

Authors (3)

Chortareas, Georgios Jiang, Ying (not in RePEc) Nankervis, John. C. (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

0.673 = (α=2.02 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We assess the performances of alternative procedures for forecasting the daily volatility of the euro's bilateral exchange rates using 15 min data. We use realized volatility and traditional time series volatility models. Our results indicate that using high-frequency data and considering their long memory dimension enhances the performance of volatility forecasts significantly. We find that the intraday FIGARCH model and the ARFIMA model outperform other traditional models for all exchange rate series.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:intfor:v:27:y:2011:i:4:p:1089-1107
Journal Field
Econometrics
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25