Fast and Accurate Variational Inference for Large Bayesian VARs with Stochastic Volatility

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control
Year: 2022
Volume: 143
Issue: C

Score contribution per author:

1.009 = (α=2.02 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We propose a new variational approximation of the joint posterior distribution of the log-volatility in the context of large Bayesian VARs. In contrast to existing approaches that are based on local approximations, the new proposal provides a global approximation that takes into account the entire support of the joint distribution. In a Monte Carlo study we show that the new global approximation is over an order of magnitude more accurate than existing alternatives. We illustrate the proposed methodology with an application of a 96-variable VAR with stochastic volatility to measure global bank network connectedness.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:dyncon:v:143:y:2022:i:c:s0165188922002093
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25