Policy Uncertainty and Information Flows: Evidence from Pension Reform Expectations

A-Tier
Journal: Economic Journal
Year: 2023
Volume: 133
Issue: 649
Pages: 98-129

Authors (4)

Emanuele Ciani (not in RePEc) Adeline Delavande (not in RePEc) Ben Etheridge (not in RePEc) Marco Francesconi (University of Essex)

Score contribution per author:

1.005 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We examine how workers’ expectations about pension reform vary with proximity to reforms, information availability and worker characteristics. Using newly collected data, we find that (1) expectations about reform are revised upward by about 10 percentage points in the year prior to a reform, from a median of 50%, regardless of whether the reform is announced; (2) expectations increase more the stronger the media activity about imminent reforms; (3) the effect of information on expectations varies systematically with characteristics that proxy cognitive ability and information value; (4) expectations do not converge as a result of reform announcements or implementations.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:oup:econjl:v:133:y:2023:i:649:p:98-129.
Journal Field
General
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-25