Household debt and consumption dynamics A non-developed world view following the financial crisis

C-Tier
Journal: Applied Economics
Year: 2022
Volume: 54
Issue: 8
Pages: 897-917

Authors (3)

Adél Bosch (not in RePEc) Matthew Clance (not in RePEc) Steven F. Koch (University of Pretoria)

Score contribution per author:

0.335 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

According to recent macroeconomic evidence, the global financial crisis is still impacting the South African financial landscape more than 10 years later. In an effort to better understand the effect of the financial crisis, we examine household debt dynamics, with particular attention to deleveraging, following the financial cycle peak. Our analysis is predicated on the National Income Dynamics Study, the first wave of which was conducted adjacent to the beginning of the crisis. We apply standard regression analysis finding heterogeneity in debt and deleveraging at the household level, with both an uptick in short-term debt in the early stages of the crisis and a reduction in long-term debt, primarily mortgage debt, since. Overall, deleveraging was greatest amongst higher income households with relatively larger mortgage debt-to-income ratios, although that was partially offset in households with higher mortgage repayment costs relative to income. Long-term deleveraging was also more likely amongst households with higher vehicle debt-to-income ratios, but lower consumer debt-to-income ratios.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:taf:applec:v:54:y:2022:i:8:p:897-917
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25