Real option value over a housing market cycle

B-Tier
Journal: Regional Science and Urban Economics
Year: 2013
Volume: 43
Issue: 6
Pages: 862-874

Score contribution per author:

0.673 = (α=2.02 / 3 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper analyzes how the dynamics of house prices are affected by the option to rebuild or enlarge existing dwellings. The nonlinear functional form for option value and zoning limits provides identification of changes in option value over the cycle. For homes with high development potential, our results show that about 40% of the price increases during the boom years after the fall of the Berlin Wall were related to increased option value. In the subsequent bust about 50% of their price decline was associated with decreased option value. For dwellings with low redevelopment potential 12% of the decline in real value can be attributed to changing option value.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:regeco:v:43:y:2013:i:6:p:862-874
Journal Field
Urban/Geographic
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25