Selecting volatility forecasting models for portfolio allocation purposes

B-Tier
Journal: International Journal of Forecasting
Year: 2015
Volume: 31
Issue: 3
Pages: 849-861

Authors (4)

Becker, R. (not in RePEc) Clements, A.E. (not in RePEc) Doolan, M.B. (not in RePEc) Hurn, A.S. (not in RePEc)

Score contribution per author:

0.503 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Techniques for evaluating and selecting multivariate volatility forecasts are not yet understood as well as their univariate counterparts. This paper considers the ability of different loss functions to discriminate between a set of competing forecasting models which are subsequently applied in a portfolio allocation context. It is found that a likelihood-based loss function outperforms its competitors, including those based on the given portfolio application. This result indicates that considering the particular application of forecasts is not necessarily the most effective basis on which to select models.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:intfor:v:31:y:2015:i:3:p:849-861
Journal Field
Econometrics
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-25