U.S. Monetary Policy Surprises: Identification with Shifts and Rotations in the Term Structure

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking
Year: 2012
Volume: 44
Issue: 7
Pages: 1443-1453

Score contribution per author:

1.009 = (α=2.02 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We develop a model to extract measures of monetary policy surprises from the maturity structure of the yield curve. The model endogenously allows for the fact that the yield curve may either shift or rotate in response to monetary policy shocks. A latent factor model approach with identification through heteroskedasticity harnesses the term structure to extract monetary policy shocks. The approach offers informational advantages over event studies. Results from the U.S. term structure from 1994 strongly support the hypothesis that differing term structure responses are reactions to different types of monetary policy shock, rather than differing reactions to the same policy shock.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:wly:jmoncb:v:44:y:2012:i:7:p:1443-1453
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25