California gasoline demand elasticity estimated using refinery outages

A-Tier
Journal: Energy Economics
Year: 2025
Volume: 148
Issue: C

Authors (3)

Colina, Armando R. (not in RePEc) Gafarov, Bulat (not in RePEc) Hilscher, Jens (University of California-Davis)

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This paper presents new gasoline demand price elasticity estimates for California. We use unique characteristics of California’s gasoline market and a new set of proposed instruments. As a first step, we take advantage of California’s unique gasoline market, which is partially isolated from the rest of the United States due to environmental regulations. We control for persistent demand shocks and estimate a lower bound for the long-run elasticity of demand of −0.23. In the second step, we use a new set of instruments to control for simultaneity. We use detailed information on refinery outages to capture short-run supply shocks. Our estimate of long-run demand elasticity is −0.60.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:eneeco:v:148:y:2025:i:c:s0140988325003135
Journal Field
Energy
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25