Asset Pricing Tests with Long-run Risks in Consumption Growth

B-Tier
Journal: Review of Asset Pricing Studies
Year: 2011
Volume: 1
Issue: 1
Pages: 96-136

Authors (2)

Score contribution per author:

1.009 = (α=2.02 / 2 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

We present a novel methodology for estimating/testing the Bansal and Yaron (2004) and related long-run risks (LRR) models based on the observation that the latent state variables are known functions of observables. The large standard error of the estimated elasticity of intertemporal substitution explains the controversy on its magnitude. The model requires higher persistence of consumption and dividend growth to explain the cross-section of returns than that observed in the data. The model matches the unconditional moments of consumption and dividend growth, but implies a higher risk-free rate and lower volatility of the price/dividend ratio, risk-free rate, and market return than those observed in the data. Contrary to the model implications, the conditional variance of the LRR variable fails to capture the large time variation in the equity premium.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:oup:rasset:v:1:y:2011:i:1:p:96-136
Journal Field
Finance
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25