The Macroeconomic Expectations of U.S. Managers

B-Tier
Journal: Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking
Year: 2025
Volume: 57
Issue: 4
Pages: 683-716

Authors (4)

ETHAN M.L. McCLURE (not in RePEc) VITALIIA YAREMKO (not in RePEc) OLIVIER COIBION (not in RePEc) YURIY GORODNICHENKO (University of California-Berke...)

Score contribution per author:

0.503 = (α=2.01 / 4 authors) × 1.0x B-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

Using responses obtained through the Nielsen Homescan panel survey, we explore the differences between managers’ and nonmanagers’ expectations and perceptions of inflation and unemployment. By and large, managers and nonmanagers exhibit similar average inflation and unemployment expectations as well as similar levels of disagreement and sensitivity to information provided in a randomized control trial. Responses to hypothetical questions suggest that inflation expectations of managers frequently affect their economic decisions. Finally, the inflation expectations of managers deviate systematically from the predictions of “anchored” expectations.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:wly:jmoncb:v:57:y:2025:i:4:p:683-716
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
4
Added to Database
2026-01-25