Modeling and explaining the dynamics of European Union Allowance prices at high-frequency

A-Tier
Journal: Energy Economics
Year: 2012
Volume: 34
Issue: 1
Pages: 316-326

Authors (3)

Conrad, Christian (not in RePEc) Rittler, Daniel (not in RePEc) Rotfuß, Waldemar

Score contribution per author:

1.341 = (α=2.01 / 3 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

In this paper we model the adjustment process of European Union Allowance (EUA) prices to the releases of announcements at high-frequency controlling for intraday periodicity, volatility clustering and volatility persistence. We find that the high-frequency EUA price dynamics are very well captured by a fractionally integrated asymmetric power GARCH process. The decisions of the European Commission on second National Allocation Plans have a strong and immediate impact on EUA prices. Further, EUA prices increase in response to better than expected news on the future economic development as well as the current economic activity in Germany and the U.S.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:eneeco:v:34:y:2012:i:1:p:316-326
Journal Field
Energy
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25