A toolkit to assess fiscal vulnerabilities and risks in advanced economies

C-Tier
Journal: Applied Economics
Year: 2014
Volume: 46
Issue: 6
Pages: 650-660

Score contribution per author:

0.101 = (α=2.01 / 10 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

This article presents a range of tools and indicators for analysing fiscal vulnerabilities and risks for advanced economies. The analysis covers key short-, medium- and long-term dimensions. Short-term pressures are captured by assessing (i) gross funding needs, (ii) market perceptions of default risk and (iii) stress dependence among sovereigns. Medium- and long-term pressures are summarized by (iv) medium- and long-term budgetary adjustment needs, (v) susceptibility of debt projections to growth and interest rate shocks and (vi) stochastic risks to medium-term debt dynamics. Aiming to cover a wide range of advanced economies and minimize data lags, has also influenced the selection of empirical methods. Due to these features, they can, for example, help inform the joint IMF--FSB Early Warning Exercise (EWE) on the fiscal dimensions of economic risks.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:taf:applec:v:46:y:2014:i:6:p:650-660
Journal Field
General
Author Count
10
Added to Database
2026-01-24