The demographic deficit

A-Tier
Journal: Journal of Monetary Economics
Year: 2018
Volume: 93
Issue: C
Pages: 45-62

Authors (2)

Cooley, Thomas (not in RePEc) Henriksen, Espen (BI Handelshøyskolen)

Score contribution per author:

2.011 = (α=2.01 / 2 authors) × 2.0x A-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

There has been a slowdown in growth in the world’s most advanced economies. In this paper we argue that changing demographics, in particular aging populations combined with increased life expectancy, may be part of the explanation for why we observe slower growth, falling interest rates and falling productivity growth. Using Japan and the U.S. in the years prior to the financial crises as a case study, we provide estimates of the growth deficit that arises from an aging cohort structure and increasing life expectancy. We also provide projections of the impact of predictable demographic changes on future growth in the U.S. and Japan.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:eee:moneco:v:93:y:2018:i:c:p:45-62
Journal Field
Macro
Author Count
2
Added to Database
2026-01-25