External debt and real exchange rates’ adjustment in the euro area: new evidence from a nonlinear NATREX model

C-Tier
Journal: Applied Economics
Year: 2016
Volume: 48
Issue: 11
Pages: 966-986

Score contribution per author:

0.336 = (α=2.02 / 3 authors) × 0.5x C-tier

α: calibrated so average coauthorship-adjusted count equals average raw count

Abstract

<title>ABSTRACT</title>In this article, we revisit medium- to long-run real exchange rate determination within the euro area, focusing on the role of external debt. Accordingly, we rely on the NATural Real EXchange rate (NATREX) approach which provides an explicit framework of the external debt--real exchange rates nexus. In particular, given the indebtedness levels reached by the euro area economies, we investigate potential nonlinearity in real exchange rates dynamics, according to the level of the external debt. Our results evidence that during the monetary union, gross and net external debt positions of the euro area countries have exerted pressures on real exchange rate dynamics within the area. Moreover, we find that, beyond a threshold reached by the external debt, euro area countries are found to be in a vulnerable position, leading to an unavoidable adjustment process. Nevertheless, the adjustment process, while effective, is found to be low and occurs slowly.

Technical Details

RePEc Handle
repec:taf:applec:v:48:y:2016:i:11:p:966-986
Journal Field
General
Author Count
3
Added to Database
2026-01-25